Two-Start Dive Bar: June 13-19

Another Sunday, another trip to the dive bar. At least that’s what my 20s looked like. You? No? Just me? OK fine then, well-adjusted member of society. Bully for you.

There are a few very attractive choices this week, but even better, The Well is chock full of pitchers who, while they possibly won’t be amazing in both starts, should combine their outings for a pretty decent return.

As an example, only four pitchers scheduled for just one start this week– Kevin Gausman, Gerrit Cole, Justin Verlander, and Robbie Ray– are projected to as much value by Rudy Gamble’s Player Rater as the minimum threshold to be a bolded entry in The Well. None of them are projected to the value of the lowest pitcher in the Top Shelf.

Shall we take a look, then?


The bold pitchers below are the most extreme version of each section. The best of the Top Shelf, the safest of the Well, the worst of the Bar Mat.

The Top Shelf


  • Lots of two-home-start pitchers this week, and for some of these, the weakness of one of their opponents is doing the heavy lifting. Fingers crossed Alek Manoah doesn’t have a truly terrible Saturday in the park.
  • Brady Singer is on a road trip, but he gets to come to the barren expanse that is The Coliseum in Oakland, so, y’know, good for him!


The Well

Pitcher First Start Second Start
Chris Flexen, SEA MIN(MO) LAA(SA)
Alex Wood, SF KC(MO) @PIT(SU)
Shane Bieber, CLE @COL(TU) @LAD(SU)
Yusei Kikuchi, TOR BAL(TU) NYY(SU)
Sandy Alcantara, MIA @PHI(MO) @NYM(SU)
Cristian Javier, HOU @TEX(MO) CHW(SU)
Dane Dunning, TEX HOU(TU) @DET(SU)
Nestor Cortes, NYY TB(TU) @TOR(SU)
Mike Minor, CIN @ARI(MO) MIL(SU)
Zach Eflin, PHI MIA(TU) @WSH(SU)
Alex Faedo, DET CHW(TU) TEX(SU)
Tony Gonsolin, LAD LAA(TU) CLE(SU)
Merrill Kelly, ARI CIN(MO) MIN(SA)
Noah Syndergaard, LAA @LAD(TU) @SEA(SU)
Rony Garcia, DET CHW(MO) TEX(SA)


  • Shane Bieber is a good pitcher, and I’m not saying don’t start him. But he’s here and not on the Top Shelf because, my goodness, what a terrible draw of starts for the week. Road starts in Coors and at Los Doyers? Yeesh.
  • Of the bottom half of this group, I actually think I like Zach Eflin best. His opponents this week have combined for a 50-68 record, a .424 winning percentage that would qualify for 9th-worst in the majors if it was one team. Get ’em.


The Bar Mat

Pitcher First Start Second Start
Chris Archer, MIN @SEA(MO) @ARI(SU)
Stephen Strasburg, WSH ATL(TU) PHI(SU)
Josiah Gray, WSH ATL(MO) PHI(SA)
Johnny Cueto, CHW @DET(MO) @HOU(SU)
Kyle Bradish, BAL @TOR(MO) TB(SA)
Ian Anderson, ATL @WSH(MO) @CHC(SU)
Corey Kluber, TB @NYY(TU) @BAL(SU)
Zach Davies, ARI CIN(TU) MIN(SU)
Mitch Keller, PIT @STL(MO) SF(SU)
Justin Steele, CHC SD(MO) ATL(SA)
Taylor Hearn, TEX HOU(MO) @DET(SA)
Adrian Houser, MIL @NYM(TU) @CIN(SU)
Jordan Lyles, BAL @TOR(TU) TB(SU)
Kyle Hendricks, CHC SD(TU) ATL(SU)
Jared Koenig, OAK @BOS(TU) KC(SU)
Packy Naughton, STL PIT(MO) @BOS(SU)
Nabil Crismatt, SD @CHC(MO) @COL(SU)
Antonio Senzatela, COL CLE(TU) SD(SU)


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