Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat


7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: For reference, here are the FAAB bids in the two Tout Wars 15-team leagues.
7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:
7:31
Kyle: Kaprielian got dropped in my 14 team points. Worth the stash in my IL slot? Would be dropping Domingo German
7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Keep German
7:31
Jake: Have Grichuk and Lane Thomas, would you drop for Profar and Segura? OBP league
7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Add Segura for Thomas
7:32
Jake: Matz was trash today. Are you still buying in?
7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Let me check the box
7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: 5 K’s, 1 BB, 9 HA
7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d use it as a buying opportunity if someone else is fustrated.
7:34
Tracko: pretend nothing matters in existence but especially positional need. Jeremy Peña or Matt Brash.
7:34
Zach: What kind of claim (%) is it gonna cost to get Kwan? And is he worth it? 12 team h2h OBP with 5 of spots.
7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ve been trying to come up with a comp and the best is Jeff McNeil. AVG and some power. In a 12-teamer, McNeil might cost 3% to 5% to roster.
7:35
Jake: how are you playign the Mariners, Reds and Twins bullpens?
7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not
7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d find the guys used in the highest leverage situation and hope to end the season with 8 Wins and 12 Saves from them.
7:36
El Duque: As a Tatis stopgap… ESuarez, DeJong or Jorge Mateo? Thanks!
7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: If you need power, Dejong, speed: Mateo
7:37
Cashflow: Is Tyler Megill for real? What other “under the radar” pitchers have caught your attention in the first few games?
7:38
Chuck: Best pickup for potential saves?  Jorge Lopez, Jorge Alcala, or Domingo Acevedo?
7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: Lopez IMO
7:38
Mike Honcho: Any starters this week that you would drop A.Ashby to roster?
7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Not a ton of streamers I like this week. It’s tough to get a read on the 4th and 5th guys. I do like Wright over Ashby
7:39
Rookie stashes: I have a couple if minor leaguers I’m currently rostering – MJ Melendez, and Vidal Brujan.  With the big uptick of rookies up so early this year, do you think either of these two could contribute in 2022?
7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: You need to find spots for them on the MLB rosters. Right now, neither one has one.
7:40
Twin Cities: Do you think I’ll be ok with Ober & Joe Ryan combo on my SP staff?
7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: Sure. Unless there is a major skills decline (see Nick Pivetta and his fastball down 2 mph), I’m holding for at least 4 starts
7:41
Guardian: I’m loving my guy Straw, but I’m tempted for Harrison Bader out on the waiver wire – what say you?
7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: Straw is tradable but Bader should be rostered.
7:42
chewbacca: Do you like Cobb (and Giants magic) or Megill more in a k/9 league?
7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: Cobb for me
7:42
MiracleMets: Rank ’em for saves potential!
Jhoan Duran/MIN, Jorge Lopez/BAL, D. Tate/BAL, Feyereisen/TB, B. Raley/TB, Munoz/SEA
7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: Lopez ….. and I don’t know or care. Add the most talented one.
7:43
The Kraken: Thoughts on Kelenic in 2022?  I’m hoping the learning curve year helped, but what do you think for his production in fantasy for this season?
7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: In over 30 leagues, I didn’t roster him once. I just don’t think he can hit major league pitching. I’m willing to be wrong.
7:44
Alex: Will G.Whitlock get a chance to save games, or is it Barnes only in Beantown??
7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: Barnes for now
7:44
Arrrgghhh: I grabbed Stratton on the cheap as a bench spot.  Will he get some save opps, or is Bednar and nobody else?
7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: They are supposed to split the dozen or so Saves the Pirates will get this season.
7:45
Montana: Wright, Ashby or Gibson…..need to drop one
7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: Ashby, but I’m not the Ashby person at all (another 0 for 34).
7:46
Tim: What % of FAAB would you go on Josh Lowe in a 12 tm league?
7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: It going to be nuts. I’m thinking 10% is the min with it going up to 50%
7:47
Jimmy: Zach Thompson or Carlos Hernandez?
7:47
Stack: Need a MI for my roto pool 6×6 QS and OPS are the additional stats. Who do you like most between Farmer, Abrams, Profar, Dejong, Arraez, and Mateo
7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d take a shot on Abrams for the week. I think there is a good chance he’ll fail, but the upside is huge
7:48
tarantula: Wong or Lux? 12tm, backup IF
7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: Wong and it’s not even close for me
7:49
Guest: Ober, Joe Ryan, Skubal, Tristan Mckenzie ROS?
7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: They are all about the same … ONE START INTO THE SEASON
7:50
Brave add: When will Spencer Strider join the Braves’ starting rotation?
7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: How in the hell am I supposed to know?
7:50
John: Is Daniel Bard the closer for the entire season?
7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: How often does a Rockies closer make it the whole year? Probably slim to none.
7:51
Guest: Should I worry about Blake Snell and Ian Anderson?
7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Hell yes. I’ve never been a fan of either one (both members of the 0/34 club)
7:52
Just Dingers: Am I wrong to be a bit excited about Merrill Kelly? Looks like the strikeout uptick that started last year might be for real
7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: A little. The issue is that it is just the change getting good results. He needs a couple more average pitches.
7:53
Guest: How much does Swanson batting in the 8/9 spots worry you for his fantasy production?
7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Quite a bit since he just won’t get the count stats. The deal is that there is not much to do now but trade him off to some sucker
7:54
jp: Tommy Pham should be rostered in a 10 team league?
7:54
BASEBALLIZBACK: Awesome work on the mining for news segments, Jeff. Really helped keep up to date on all the movement early on!
7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: You’re welcome
7:54
OOPS: Last week I claimed Trevor Megill (D’OH!) and still have to place a shame bid on Tylor this week.
7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: That sucks
7:54
Kevin: Is Jake McGee worth holding on to or pick up Kyle Wright?
7:55
Jeff Zimmerman: Depends if you need a Saves source or not
7:55
Steve: Level of concern re: Brandon Woodruff? That start was offensive
7:55
KC: Thoughts on Carlos Carasco’s start today? I didn’t see it but saw he had great K%-BB% but also hugely benefited from a low Babip.
7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: He was fine, better than many other starters.
7:57
Pointy: Need to replace Adell in a points league.  Dalbec or Kwan or Jesus Sanchez or other?
7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: Sanchez for now
7:57
Phil: Conforto was dropped. Worth an add yet?
7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: I would not until there are any reports of him being healthy
7:57
Freddy: Did Daulton Jeffries impress you today?
7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: I watched the start and he had no swing-and-miss. I’d keep him on the wire
7:58
EH: Think Jordan Hicks will do anything as a starter? I worry he won’t throw many innings.
7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: Or get hurt right way. For me, he’s on the bench and I’ll evaluate after his start.
7:59
Pinerider: Brandon Marsh seems like a part time player, and I could use another SP. Would you drop him for Eflin, Flexen or Tucker Davidson? Or will Marsh blossom and change Maddon’s mind?
7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Maddon said Marsh is in a platoon with Adell. Drop for Eflin
7:59
Steve: Detmers (LAA) or H Greene (CIN) – redraft
7:59
Steven Kwan is better than Babe Ruth: How soon until McKenzie Gore is up? You think the Snell injury will accelerate his timeline?
8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: The injury might speed it up, but otherwise, no idea
8:00
Wang Dang Doodle: Kike Hernandez in danger of losing his leadoff, or even his starting role?
8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: After one bad weekend. It’ll take at least two weeks before there is a change
8:01
Brew Crew: Aaron Ashby was my sleeper RP this year in the hopes he eventually gets some run as SP.  What do you think?
8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: We’ll see. Maybe
8:01
OBP/S+H: High-upside gamble: Mateo over Stott?
8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: I can get behind that
8:01
San Diego Chicken: I was so mad when the Padres traded for Rogers just before the season.  I drafted Pierce Johnson as my dark horse saves guy.  Any chance he sees some play there, or is it all Rogers?
8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: The team has come out and said it’s Rogers. Move on.
8:02
Free ReyLo: Tony La Russa today said Reynaldo Lopez will stay in the bullpen until Joe Kelly returns. Does he have enough value as a reliever to wait this out or would you grab someone like K. Wright, Steele or M. Kelly?
8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: Don’t wait out for now, but Lopez will be useful (even out of the bullpen) once the good and bad starters have sorted things out.
8:03
Steve: Name a dark horse SP I can add, there’s practically no one left on the waiver wire but what do I know. For reference, 16 team keeper league
8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: Brad Keller?
8:04
Steven: Our 10 team league switched to FAAB for the first time this season ($1000 budget with $0 bids) and I think we’re all feeling out the cost for players. Most are going for $0-$5 but Connor Joe went for $28 last night, so it’s starting to get interesting. Any general tips for a FAAB league?
8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Keep the bids under 5% until a trend is found, but don’t be afraid to do the 5% if the player is a major upgrade. Just a handful of those players come around during a season
8:05
Mike: Jorge Mateo o/u steals 25 ?
8:06
flarble: Who do you think is the most widely dropped player after two months who was drafted in the top 10 rounds
8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: Besides injuries, Tommy Edman
8:06
Nick: In a 12 tm points league, Kwan over Dom Smith or Connor Joe (-.5 for Ks)?
8:07
Funkadelic: Any “late round flier” types that people might have already given up on that you’d suggest snagging? For example, Kirilloff just became available in my 12 team, 2 keeper H2H cat league.
8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: What, yes add him.
8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: Most of the time, it’s not a universal drop but one-offs for a league. Always check the previous weeks drops
8:08
Guest: Do you like Lucas Sims and/or Tanner Rainey?
8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: No, it’s not even close
8:08
the catman: ARe there any advantages/disadvantages switching from $100 to $1000 budget?
8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: I think $100 is fine if there are $0 bids. If going to $1000, get rid of the $0 bids. The issue with $100 budget is that teams are limited to 100 moves during the season or 4 per week at only $1
8:09
Scott TINSTAAPP: How much do you tend to spend in weeks you identify as not big weeks (i.e. weeks without a major target or need)? $1000 FAAB NFBC context
8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: I tried to keep $20 per week for streaming during the year (~$500 total) and then the other half for improvements. If there is no one, I’ll go under the $20 and use it later.
8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m kind of a stickler on the $20, but it comes in great over the last month since everyone needed to win can usually be added.
8:12
bcbcbc: Drop Keller for Detmer, K.Wright, or M.Kelly?
8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Wright … maybe. I’d try to keep both
8:12
Guest: im chasing saves. Drop Wick for Robertson?  Drop Colome for Bard?
8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes (but I prefer Givens) and yes
8:12
barry: do you like garver or ruiz more in an avg/ops roto league?
8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: I like Garver across the board since I don’t have to sit him when on the road.
8:13
Guest: Would you drop Jo Adell for Steven Kwan?
8:13
Kuff6: Worth dropping P Corbin or Nick Martinez for Kyle Wright?  Or is that premature?  Thanks!
8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe Martinez
8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: Here is one strategy point for weekly leagues. If the above person drops Corbin for Wright, they can add Corbin the next week (possibly at a higher cost). It at least keeps both pitchers in play.
8:16
art warren stan: do you really think art warren is just an “ok” reliever as you stated in your article
8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: A 28-year-old who has only thrown 26 MLB IP and had major walk issues throughout his career.
8:17
0/34: does Caratini cut into Navareaz time?
8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably some, but Narvaez owns righties.
8:18
BASEBALLIZBACK: Any deep minor league guys you’re high on? (we roster 500+ milb guys and I’m really reaching)
8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: Nope, I’m barely follow the minors
8:18
Angelo: Better back end innings eater – Greinke or Kyle Hendricks?
8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: Hendricks on the K upside
8:18
Tim: Would you rather have Josiah Gray or Nestor Cortes on your roster?
8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: Nestor Cortez for me
8:18
Show Walter: Can’t believe I’m stuck with Suarez at 3B in a 14-team OPS league. Will HRs balance out his downside? Candelario is my only other option.
8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go with Candelario
8:19
TD: Santillian or Barnes?
8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: Barnes and it’s not close
8:19
Greg: Did you have any faith in Kris Bubic even before today’s debacle?
8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: Zero. The Royals have only developed one above-average starter since Dayton Moore arrived.
8:20
Jake: is mike minor an auto-add when he comes back from IL
8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: God no, I hope not
8:20
Christian: I’m in a 12 team NFBC league and need to add RPs and one UT. I’m considering dropping Michael Conforto, Patrick Corbin, Josiah Gray and/or Eric Lauer. Should I hang on to any of these guys?
8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: Drop Conforto
8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: Wong for speed. Segura is more balanced
8:21
Need Saves: %FAAB on David Robertson? 12 team 5×5
8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go low (2%) because I don’t think he’s the closer
8:21
SporeOfSporer: Also, ould you drop Bednar if you held Kimbrel, Taylor Rogers, and Kittridge? Thank you good sir.
8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe. If I have more than enough closers early, I just run them out and get Saves while you can. The next week, you might not have any because of performance or injury. Get the league and then drop
8:23
Brad: In an AL-only league, what % of you FAAB would you bid on Pollock?
8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably 50%
8:24
Dan: Expectations for Oneil Cruz when he comes up?
8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: High, but I’m guessing it’ll be in June
8:24
SporeOfSporer: To add, thinking Gio U or Yandy for Villar. Thanks again Jeff.
8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Get the guy playing.
8:25
Would you: drop Robbie Grossman for Connor Joe?
8:25
steve: which you drop kiriloff or kepler for josh lowe?
8:25
BobbyRoberto: Aaron Hicks, Jake Fraley, or Chas McCormick, 15-team, 5-OF league?
8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Hicks for me
8:25
BASEBALLIZBACK: My 12 teamer roster seems pretty good overall but we may be trending toward the bottom of the standings in AVG. Should I just pray to the BABIP gods or would you try to trade my Gallo/Sano types for higher average guys? If the latter, any targets I should look for?
8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: If you have several low-average guys, you need to get them off your team now. Most teams can only handle one of them
8:26
Corey: Do I ride with Iglesias for MI option or pick up Culberson looking at more PAs this week? 15 tm
8:27
Ipa or sours: Seth beer? Thoughts?
8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: It comes down to the playing time and if a Util-only can be rostered. I’m thinking Kole Calhoun like production
8:27
Reds2022: Is Moustakas burnt toast?
8:28
Marnell: Adames, he had a tough spring, is he a top 10 starting SS this year in your opinion?
8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: Top-10, no way
8:28
David: Playing in a league (h2h) that has save and holds as categories. I have only one closer, should I go heavier on holds and let saves take care of themselves?
8:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Just roster good relievers and the Saves, Holds, and Wins will come, especially with the 10 inning ghost runner.
8:29
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for this week. I need to give me teams a once over before most of my FAAB runs


 

Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He’s won Tout Wars three times, LABR once, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.





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