Spring(er) Back in his Step – Fantasy Baseball 2022


Spring(er) Back in his Step


George Springer-Blue Jays-OF

George Springer was 1-2 with 1 BB and 1 SB against the Rays. Springer is hitting .260 with 15 HR, 45 R, 36 RBI, and 8 SB. He continues to offer good plate skills (20% K and 9% BB) to go along with his power and speed. The concern going forward is that his ground ball rate has spiked (42% GB, +9%) and his hard contact has dropped (8% Barrels). Other than those two things his profile looks very similar to the past. The good news is that he is running more which will help offset any potential decline in power. Springer hits leadoff for one of the best offenses in baseball which is a highly enviable spot to be in.

Amed Rosario-Guardians-SS

Amed Rosario was 0-5 against the Twins. Rosario is hitting .287 with 2 HR, 38 R, 22 RBI, and 9 SB. The batting average is legit based on his ability to make contact (14% K) and his speed. The power is very unlikely to ever get back to the 2019 levels because of his groundball tendencies (56% GB). He has an above-average maxEV (115.8 mph) but his barrel rate (4%) shows that he can’t consistently hit it at the right angles for power. This isn’t necessarily a bad thing but lowers his fantasy value because he is providing value in three categories (AVG, R, and SB) instead of being a five-category contributor. Rosario has been red hot in June (.376 AVG with 2 HR/6 SB).

Ian Anderson-Braves-SP

Ian Anderson went 2 IP and gave up 7 ER on 7 H, 1 BB, and 1 K against the Phillies. Anderson has a 5.31 ERA and 1.52 WHIP through 15 GS. He has been a disappointment for both the Braves and fantasy managers. The strikeouts have fallen off (20% K) and the walks have increased (11% BB). This is a terrible combination. His 4.57 SIERA doesn’t give much hope for a turnaround. His velocity is down and his fastball/changeup combination has not been nearly as effective this year as compared to the past two seasons. Something is not right with the right-hander. He is lined up for two starts next week (STL and WSH) but even that is a risky proposition given his current skill set.

Shane Bieber-Guardians-SP

Shane Bieber went 6 IP and gave up 3 ER on 5 H, 2 BB, and 5 K’s against the Twins. Bieber came into the game with a 3.16 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. The velocity hasn’t recovered from his truly dominant seasons but he has adapted by throwing more offspeed pitches. The strikeout rate isn’t elite anymore but it is still better than league average (26% K) and his swinging strike rate (14% SwStr) gives room for improvement. Bieber is also displaying elite control (6% BB) which helps him be successful despite the reduced velocity. As a fantasy community, we have had to lower our expectations for Bieber but that should only be from an elite starter (Top 5 SP) to Top 15 SP.

Chris Archer-Twins-SP

Chris Archer went 4 IP and gave up 1 ER on 1 H, 6 BB, and 2 K’s against the Guardians. He is 2-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.26 WHIP through 61.1 IP. Archer has good surface stats but the underlying skills paint a different picture. He has below-average strikeouts (19% K) and walks (10% BB). Archer has been the beneficiary of a .224 BABIP and 80% LOB. His 4.77 SIERA is much higher than his ERA and gives us an understanding of what could be coming our way. The other downside to Archer is that he is not pitching deep enough into games (4.07 IP/GS) to qualify for wins. This makes it very hard to keep running him out there in mixed league formats.

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